Escalate to Fear
What we see now is not an 'escalate to de-escalate' or an 'escalate to escalate' but a controlled escalation to fear
What is PEK ?
They will be remembered by the outsiders as 'challenging leaders with limited powers' and by the insiders and their official history as 'limited heroes.'
VodkaSphere of Influence
The smart take was in the MAZ Foresight Report. (September 2021) “Russia will pay prices beyond her calculations.”
“Nothing about Europe without Europe”
Yet a protracted decision making and extended maneuvering of European leaders may magnify the unintended consequences of an “highly possible” conflict. Otherwise, “Nothing about Europe without Europe”.
Near Easting the Eurasia
The point is and will be for some time more about the “consequences of the cost.” but not the consequences of the conflict. Conflict is broad, while the cost is…
Turkey’s Shrinking Range of Motion
Global developments, harshing power competitions, multiplying actors, overt and covert ambitions of regional powers including flexing Russia force the Turkish tradition to play within a shrinking range of motion..
The Pulse of Power Shift
The pulse of power shift throughout Eastern Europe is now beating.
A Bluff Card or A Long Term Strategic Intent
Ukraine Crisis and Possible Pattern of Russia's Eastern Europe Policy