Swaying PEK in the Wind of Global Power Competition
Although each actor forces herself to become a dominating subject of the Near/Middle East and Eurasia/Caucasia coordinates, natural-environmental realities of the global and regional power competition define the boundaries of subjective behavior. All of them are going through very interesting sways between “existential threats” and “rational regional ambitions.”
Let’s take a look at Putin’s latest sway: His political approach towards Ukraine now looks perfectly transformed from “Celebration of Annexation” to “Silent Backlashing” from the occupied lands of Ukraine with about 100,000 losses. (Military-Political)
Erdogan’s over-elastic sway, on the other hand: His political stance now seems to be transformed from a “Morsianic Islamism” to “Sisianic Pharaohism” due to economic desperation. (Political-Ideological)
Khamenei’s tragicomic sway has been transformed: from “Religious Smiles” to “Abolition of Morality Police” in the midst of a long-lasting unrest. (Pol-Ideological)
In addition to military, political, and ideological losses, they all are and will be losing economically, more or less, and without any single doubt. MAZ Foresight predicted these results (sways and transformations) in his 2021 Report and detailed them throughout 2022.
2023 is no surprise. PEK will keep losing in all military, economic, political, and ideological means. MAZ Foresights absolutely predict that each will lose with her special losing function (e.g.: military+economy, or political+economic, less of the economy, more of the military and so on.) 2023 MAZ Foresights will come up with his perfect approaches clearing these functions.
My criticism of the global agenda of power competitions, by the way: Daily, Weekly, or Monthly reporting or foresighting might be valuable but with too many vulnerabilities resulting in inaccurate analyses and drifting predictions. However, the quality and the quantity of MAZ Foresights now is at the global level and undoubtedly proved successful. Moreover, now documented, MAZ with his very smart look has proven to minimize the analytical and interpretive drifts of international analysts.
Muhammet Ali Zurnacı
MAZ Foresights – Trial Release
December 8, 2022 – Istanbul